New Here? Start With This
Watch the 5-minute walkthrough that explains how to use the +EV filters, compare PrizePicks vs Underdog, and understand where the long-term edge comes from.
โถ Getting Started Tutorial (5 min)Your Subscription
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๐ How to Read the Dashboard
This quick tutorial explains each column, how to interpret the No-Vig metrics, and how to understand long-term probabilities on PrizePicks and Underdog Fantasy.
๐ฏ 1. Event & Market
Event lists the game (e.g., Chiefs vs Bills).
Market identifies the prop type โ Passing Yards, Rebounds, Strikeouts, etc.
๐ฐ 2. Sportsbook Columns
Each sportsbook (FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Fanatics) shows its line and odds. Toggle checkboxes above the table to include/exclude books in the Consensus.
๐ 3. Consensus & No-Vig Odds
Consensus = average sportsbook line (your fair baseline).
Best No-Vig removes the vig to find the โtrueโ win probability.
๐งฎ No-Vig Formula
P_over = 100 / (A + 100)
P_under = B / (B + 100)
Fair Over % = (P_over / (P_over + P_under)) ร 100
Fair Under % = (P_under / (P_over + P_under)) ร 100
The higher value is highlighted in the Best No-Vig column.
๐ฎ 4. DFS Lines (PrizePicks / Underdog)
Compare DFS lines to Consensus to spot +EV (expected value) edges.
- DFS line below Consensus โ potential Over.
- DFS line above Consensus โ potential Under.
โ๏ธ 5. Filter Buttons Explained
-
๐ PrizePicks +EV โ highlights player props where the
PrizePicks line offers value versus consensus. Uses no-vig odds to
find when the projected outcome (Over/Under) is truly favorable and the line
differs by at least
0.25points. Perfect for spotting soft lines on PrizePicks before they move. -
๐งฉ Underdog +EV โ highlights player props where the
UnderDogs line offers value versus consensus. Uses no-vig odds to
find when the projected outcome (Over/Under) is truly favorable and the line
differs by at least
0.25points. Perfect for spotting soft lines on UnderDogs before they move. -
๐ฎ Point Value Plays โ shows all significant player prop
discrepancies between DFS platforms (PrizePicks & Underdog) and
major sportsbooks. Great for building multi-card plays or cross-site line
shopping. Uses an internal difference threshold of
โฅ 0.25to focus only on meaningful gaps. - ๐ฏ High Confidence (54%+) โ displays only the props where the calculated no-vig fair win probability is at least 54%. In other words, these are lines where your model or the market implies a strong statistical edge. Excellent for value bettors looking for consistent advantage plays.
- โ๏ธ DFS Line Diff (โฅ 2) โ isolates props where PrizePicks and Underdog differ by 2+ points on the same player and stat. These represent large discrepancies between the DFS operators themselves โ often signaling uncertain or fast-moving player projections.
- โป๏ธ Reset Filters โ clears all active filters and restores the full dataset. Use this to return to the master odds table after exploring a specific edge type or view. Also appears automatically when a filter returns no results.
๐ก Pro Tip
Combine Consensus + No-Vig % + DFS ฮ to find strong edges. If DFS line < Consensus and No-Vig Over > 54 %, thatโs a high-value indicator.
๐ Math Insight โ Fixed Odds & Long-Term Probabilities
DFS sites use fixed payout multipliers (Mร). The break-even probability shows how often each pick must win to be neutral long-term.
๐ Break-Even Probability Formula
If an entry pays Mร when all n picks win:
โWโฟ ร M = 1โโโW = (1 / M)^(1/n)
Where W = per-pick win probability, n = picks, M = payout multiplier.
Example: 2-Pick paying 3ร โ (1/3)^(1/2) โ 0.577 โ 57.7 %.
A higher multiplier increases variance but doesnโt dramatically raise the required win rate.
| Lineup Type | Picks Needed | Payout ร | Implied Odds | Break-Even % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Play | ||||
| 2-Pick | 2/2 | 3ร | -136.6 | 57.7% |
| 3-Pick | 3/3 | 6ร | -141 | 58.5% |
| 4-Pick | 4/4 | 10ร | -128.3 | 56.2% |
| 5-Pick | 5/5 | 20ร | -124.5 | 55.5% |
| 6-Pick | 6/6 | 37.5ร | -122.5 | 55.0% |
| Flex Play | ||||
| 3-Pick | 3/3 (or 2/3) | 3ร (or 1ร) | -148.8 | 59.8% |
| 4-Pick | 4/4 (or 3/4) | 6ร (or 1.5ร) | -132 | 56.9% |
| 5-Pick | 5/5 (or 4/5, 3/5) | 10ร (or 2ร, 0.4ร) | -118.6 | 54.2% |
| 6-Pick | 6/6 (or 5/6, 4/6) | 25ร (or 2ร, 0.4ร) | -118.4 | 54.2% |
| Lineup Type | Picks Needed | Payout ร | Implied Odds | Break-Even % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | ||||
| 2-Pick | 2/2 | 3ร | -136 | 57.7% |
| 3-Pick | 3/3 | 6ร | -122 | 55.0% |
| 4-Pick | 4/4 | 10ร | -128 | 56.2% |
| 5-Pick | 5/5 | 20ร | -122 | 54.9% |
| Insured | ||||
| 3-Pick | 3/3 (or 2/3) | 3ร (or 1ร) | -136.6 | 57.7% |
| 4-Pick | 4/4 (or 3/4) | 6ร (or 1.5ร) | -132 | 56.9% |
| 5-Pick | 5/5 (or 4/5) | 10ร (or 2.5ร) | -127 | 56.0% |
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